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Оil products of the Republic of Belarus: Production, Market and Forecast
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This report is currently available in Russian language only. However, we can provide an English version of the report within 3 weeks after receiving a payment.
This review is devoted to investigation of market of oil products of the Republic of Belarus.
The purpose of research – analysis of Belarusian oil products market and forecast of its development in 2016-2018
Object of research are the following petroleum products: gasolines, diesel fuel, fuel oil, oil bitumen, kerosene, liquefied petroleum gas, vacuum gas oils.
The chronological scope of the study – 2007-2015, the forecast 2016-2018.
Study geography: the Republic of Belarus
This work is mainly a Desk study. As the primary source of information used data of the National statistical Committee of the Republic of Belarus, data of customs statistics of the Republic of Belarus, statistical data of railway transport of the Russian Federation. Also used data of sectoral and regional press, annual and quarterly reports of issuers of securities, Internet-sites of manufacturers of oil products of Belarus.
When working on a report conducted telephone interviews of market participants.
The report consists of 5 chapters, contains 75 pages, 28 figures and 22 tables.
The first Chapter is devoted to the production of oil products in Belarus. It shows data about the production capacity of refineries of the Republic, the product range, volumes and dynamics of production.
The second Chapter analyzes data on export deliveries of petroleum products to Belarus. This Chapter presents data on the dynamics and the geographical structure of exports of petroleum products, determined product structure of exports.
The third Chapter is devoted to the analysis of demand for petroleum products in the domestic market of Belarus. It shows data of the energy balance of the country, the balance of supply and demand for certain types of petroleum products.
In the fourth Chapter the analysis of dynamics of prices for oil products on the domestic market of Belarus in 2012-2015, as well as export prices for oil products in the period 2007-2015.
The fifth Chapter presents forecast of development of market of oil products of Belarus in 2016-2018.
Abstract
Introduction
1. The production of oil products in Belarus (2000-2015)
1.1. Oil production in Belarus
1.2. The oil imports of Belarus
1.3. Oil refining in Belarus
The Mozyr oil refinery (Gomel region, Mozyr)
JSC "Naftan" (Vitebsk region, Novopolotsk)
Belarusian gas processing plant (Gomel region, Rechitsa)
2. Export of oil products of Belarus (2007-2015)
2.1. Export of fuel and gas oils
2.2. Exports of liquefied hydrocarbon gases
2.3. Export of petroleum bitumen
3. The demand for main petroleum products on the domestic market of Belarus in 2011-2015
3.1. The demand for fuel
3.2. The demand for other petroleum products
4. Analysis of the prices of petroleum products in 2007-2015
4.1. Review of export-import prices on oil and oil products
4.2. Review of prices on petroleum products on the domestic market of Belarus
5. Forecast of development of oil refining industry of Belarus in 2016-2018
Table 1. Capacity and processing volume of refineries in the countries – participants of the CIS, mln t
Table 2. The volume of imports of crude oil Belarus and average prices in 2007-2015, mln t, $/t
Table 3. The production volume of some oil products in Belarus in 2000-2015, kt
Table 4. The volume of production of main kinds of products of JSC "Mozyr oil refinery" in 2012-2014, kt
Table 5. The volume of production of main kinds products by JSC "Naftan" in 2012-2014, kt, bln rubles
Table 6. The volume of export of oil products of Belarus in 2012-2015, tons
Table 7. The volume of export of liquefied hydrocarbon gases in Belarus, 2009-2015, kt
Table 8. Export volumes of LPG fuel from Belarus to destinations in 2009-2015, kt
Table 9. Indicators of foreign trade operations of Belarus with the oil bitumen in 2007-2015, thousand t, mln $, $/t
Table 10. The volume of exports of petroleum bitumen Belarus to destinations in 2007-2015, thousand t
Table 11. The consumption of different fuels in Belarus in 2011-2014, kt
Table 12. The number of motor vehicles in Belarus, thsd.
Table 13. Fuel consumption by road vehicles of all economic activity in Belarus in 2009-2014, kt
Table 14. Balance of manufacture-consumption of petroleum bitumen in Belarus in 2008-2014, thousand t, %
Table 15. The number of LPG filling stations UNDER Belorusneft and sales volumes of liquefied gas in Belarus in 2011-2014.
Table 16. The balance of production-consumption of benzene in Belarus in 2010-2014, kt
Table 17. The rates of export customs duties on oil and some oil products in Belarus and Russia in 2014-2015, $/t
Table 18. The average export price of Belarusian oil products in 2013 to 2015, $/t
Table 19. The producer price indices for separate types of oil products in 2000-2015 (December to December of previous year, %)
Table 20. Dynamics of growth of prices for motor fuel in the domestic market of Belarus in 2011-2014, %
Table 21. Current prices for fuel in Belarus, Br/litre $ /litre
Table 22. Prices of JSC "Mozyr oil refinery" on petroleum products sold in Belarus from 1 July 2015, Br/t
Figure 1. The dynamics of oil production in Belarus in 2005-2014, kt
Figure 2. Dynamics of export of crude oil Belarus in 2007-2014, mln t, billion $
Figure 3. Dynamics of imports of crude oil Belarus in 2007-2014, mln t, billion $
Figure 4. Dynamics of oil refining in Belarus in 2005-1014, mln t
Figure 5. Dynamics of processing of raw materials of JSC "Mozyr oil refinery" in 2009-2014, mln t
Figure 6. Dynamics of oil refining JSC "Naftan" in 2009-2014, mln t
Figure 7. Dynamics of production of fuel OJSC "Naftan" in 2012-2014, mln t
Figure 8. Dynamics of export of oil products of Belarus in 2007-2014, mln t, billion $
Figure 9. The distribution of export flows of petroleum products between Belarus, CIS and non-CIS countries in 2012-2015, %
Figure 10. Geographical structure of Belarusian exports of oil products in 2012-2015, %
Figure 11. Commodity structure of Belarusian exports of oil products in 2013-2014, % (in natural terms)
Figure 12. Geographical structure of the Belarusian export of light distillates in 2014, % (in natural terms)
Figure 13. Geographical structure of Belarusian exports other distillates in 2014, % (in natural terms)
Figure 14. Dynamics of export of Belarus LPG fuel in bulk (kt) and value ($million) in 2009-2014
Figure 15. Exports of fuel liquefied hydrocarbon gases in Belarus in 2009-2014, % (in natural terms)
Figure 16. Dynamics of exports of petroleum bitumen Belarus in 2007-2014, thousand t, mln $
Figure 17. Exports of petroleum bitumen Belarus in 2007-2014, %
Figure 18. Dynamics of prices for crude oil and Urals crude export duties on oil and petroleum products in Russia in 2014 -2015, $/t
Figure 19. Dynamics of average annual export and import of Belarus in the price of crude oil in 2007-2015, $/t
Figure 20. Dynamics of average export prices of Belarus on oil products in 20072-2015, $/t
Figure 21. Dynamics of average export prices of Belarus on oil bitumen in 2007-2015, $/t
Figure 22. Dynamics of average export prices of Belarus on LPG fuel in 2009-2015, $/t
Figure 23. Dynamics of prices for main fuels in Belarus in 2015, €/litre
Figure 24. Dynamics of the official exchange rate of the Belarusian ruble against the U.S. dollar, set by the National Bank of the Republic of Belarus from 01.01.2014 to 14.10.2015
Figure 25. Dynamics of producer prices for gasoline in Belarus in 2012-2015, Br mln (without VAT)
Figure 26. Dynamics of producer prices for various types of fuel in Belarus in 2012-2015, mln Br
Figure 27. Dynamics of producer prices for oil products in Belarus in 2012-2015., Br million
Figure 28. Dynamics of prices on LPG fuel for domestic consumption in 2012-2015, Br mln (without VAT)